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J1 League | Gameweek 18
Jun 26, 2022 at 11am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
5 - 0
FC Tokyo

Iwasaki (30'), Diego (48'), Honda (70'), Kakita (78', 85')
Diego (42'), Seok-Ho (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and FC Tokyo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 47.43%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a FC Tokyo win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawFC Tokyo
47.43% (-0.17 -0.17) 27.27% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 25.3% (0.138 0.14)
Both teams to score 45.6% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.04% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)58.96% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.56% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)79.44% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.07% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)24.93% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.44% (-0.131 -0.13)59.56% (0.128 0.13)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.74% (0.11 0.11)39.25% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.04% (0.102 0.1)75.96% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 47.42%
    FC Tokyo 25.3%
    Draw 27.27%
Sagan TosuDrawFC Tokyo
1-0 @ 13.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.44% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 47.42%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.78% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 9.15% (0.036 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.94% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 25.3%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 3-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-1 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, May 29 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 4-4 Sagan Tosu
Wednesday, May 25 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-0 Kawasaki
Saturday, May 21 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 4-0 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, May 14 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 0-1 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, May 8 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 2-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 3-1 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, May 29 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 0-3 FC Tokyo
Wednesday, May 25 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 0-0 Reysol
Saturday, May 21 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 2-1 FC Tokyo
Saturday, May 14 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 0-1 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, May 8 at 7am in J1 League


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