Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 56.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 18.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.52%) and 1-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 1-0 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
-0.25) 
0.45) 
