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J1 League | Gameweek 5
Mar 17, 2021 at 10am UK
Kincho Stadium

Cerezo
1 - 0
Oita Trinita

Sakamoto (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Takazawa (42')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Oita Trinita.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 52.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Oita Trinita win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerezo Osaka in this match.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawOita Trinita
52.71%25.48%21.8%
Both teams to score 46.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.61%55.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.4%76.59%
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.95%21.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.16%53.84%
Oita Trinita Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.43%40.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.83%77.17%
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 52.7%
    Oita Trinita 21.8%
    Draw 25.48%
Cerezo OsakaDrawOita Trinita
1-0 @ 13.3%
2-0 @ 10.36%
2-1 @ 9.36%
3-0 @ 5.39%
3-1 @ 4.86%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-0 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 52.7%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 8.54%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 7.7%
1-2 @ 5.42%
0-2 @ 3.47%
1-3 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.27%
0-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 21.8%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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