J1 League | Gameweek 12
Jun 28, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Saitama Stadium 2002
We said: Urawa Red Diamonds 3-1 Shonan Bellmare
Urawa Red Diamonds will be licking their lips as they take on a floundering Shonan Bellmare side who are without a league win since April. Given the gulf in quality between the two sides and their contrasting form, we predict a one-sided affair at the Saitama Stadium with the hosts claiming all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 19.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.
| Result |
| Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | Shonan Bellmare |
56.08% ( 0.01) | 24.69% ( -0.01) | 19.22% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.57% ( 0) |
| 44.7% ( 0.01) | 55.3% ( -0.01) |
| 23.48% ( 0.01) | 76.52% ( -0.01) |
| 80.35% ( 0.01) | 19.65% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.38% ( 0.02) | 51.62% ( -0.02) |
| 56.71% ( -0) | 43.29% ( 0) |
