SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Consadole Sapporo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shonan Bellmare | Draw | Consadole Sapporo |
36.86% ( 0.17) | 25.4% ( -0.13) | 37.74% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.34% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.52% ( 0.58) | 47.47% ( -0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.31% ( 0.53) | 69.69% ( -0.53) |
| Shonan Bellmare Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.82% ( 0.36) | 25.18% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.09% ( 0.5) | 59.9% ( -0.51) |
| Consadole Sapporo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.3% ( 0.24) | 24.69% ( -0.24) |
