J1 League | Gameweek 18
Jun 24, 2023 at 11am UK
Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka)
We said: Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Sagan Tosu
Shonan Bellmare have only won one game in the league in front of their home fans so far this campaign, so we can see the away team prevailing here.
Sagan Tosu do not tend to score many goals, so this could be a close encounter, but we expect the visitors to have too much quality this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.
| Result |
| Shonan Bellmare | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
46.95% ( -2.05) | 25.28% ( 0.17) | 27.78% ( 1.88) |
| Both teams to score 53.34% ( 0.98) |
| 50.14% ( 0.56) | 49.86% ( -0.56) |
| 28.15% ( 0.5) | 71.85% ( -0.5) |
| 78.75% ( -0.66) | 21.25% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.83% ( -1.03) | 54.17% ( 1.03) |
| 67.73% ( 1.79) | 32.27% ( -1.79) |
