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J1 League | Gameweek 14
May 20, 2023 at 7am UK
Shonan BMW Stadium Hiratsuka

Shonan Bellmare
0 - 2
Cerezo


Okamoto (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ceara (53'), Uejo (89')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 2-4 Consadole
Saturday, May 13 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Cerezo
Sunday, May 14 at 5.30am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Shonan BellmareDrawCerezo Osaka
32.89% (-0.118 -0.12) 27.84% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 39.27% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.93% (-0.28 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.07% (-0.339 -0.34)57.93% (0.342 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.37% (-0.268 -0.27)78.63% (0.27 0.27)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.25% (-0.255 -0.25)32.75% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.7% (-0.288 -0.29)69.3% (0.28999999999999 0.29)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27% (-0.143 -0.14)28.73% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.43% (-0.18 -0.18)64.57% (0.18299999999999 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Shonan Bellmare 32.89%
    Cerezo Osaka 39.27%
    Draw 27.84%
Shonan BellmareDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 10.5% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.72% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.18% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 32.89%
1-1 @ 13.1% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.41% (0.121 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.84%
0-1 @ 11.73% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.32% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.4% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.04% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 39.27%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 2-4 Consadole
Saturday, May 13 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Reysol
Wednesday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-0 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, April 29 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-2 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, April 23 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Yokohama
Saturday, April 15 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-2 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, April 9 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Cerezo
Sunday, May 14 at 5.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, May 7 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-2 Cerezo
Wednesday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, April 29 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 1-0 Reysol
Sunday, April 23 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-2 Cerezo
Saturday, April 15 at 8am in J1 League


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