Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 48%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 24.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
