Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.

Result
Vissel Kobe	Draw	Albirex Niigata
46.78% ( -0.18)	24.96% ( 0.07)	28.26% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 54.7% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.76% (

-0.2)

48.24% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.61% (

-0.18)

70.39% (

0.18)

Vissel Kobe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.34% (

-0.16)

20.66% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.76% (

-0.25)

53.24% (

0.25)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.94% (

-0.01)

31.06% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.63% (

-0.02)

67.37% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Vissel Kobe 46.77%

Albirex Niigata 28.26%

Draw 24.96%

Vissel Kobe	Draw	Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 46.77%	1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.96%	0-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 28.26%