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J1 League | Gameweek 7
Apr 7, 2024 at 6am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
0 - 1
Cerezo


Deng (12'), Shimada (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ceara (69')
Capixaba (39'), Ceara (88')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 2-0 Albirex Niigata
Wednesday, April 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Cerezo
Wednesday, April 3 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cerezo Osaka in this match.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawCerezo Osaka
36.08% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 26.67% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 37.24% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Both teams to score 51.97% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.96% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)53.04% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.37% (-0.038 -0.04)74.63% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)28.25% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)63.97% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.43% (-0.017999999999986 -0.02)27.57% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.91% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)63.09% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 36.08%
    Cerezo Osaka 37.24%
    Draw 26.67%
Albirex NiigataDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.22% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 3.38% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 36.08%
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 7.79% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 10.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.47% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 37.24%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 2-0 Albirex Niigata
Wednesday, April 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Reysol
Saturday, March 30 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 2-2 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, March 16 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, March 9 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-0 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, March 2 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-2 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, February 24 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Cerezo
Wednesday, April 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-0 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, March 30 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-2 Cerezo
Saturday, March 16 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Tokyo Verdy
Saturday, March 9 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-1 Cerezo
Saturday, March 2 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, February 24 at 6am in J1 League


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