Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 54.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 20.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.62%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for an Albirex Niigata win it was 1-0 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Albirex Niigata	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
20.64% ( 0.4)	24.71% ( 0.11)	54.65% ( -0.5)

Both teams to score 47.57% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.26% (

0.04)

53.74% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.78% (

0.04)

75.22% (

-0.03)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.18% (

0.45)

40.82% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.6% (

0.4)

77.4% (

-0.4)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.39% (

-0.18)

19.61% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.45% (

-0.29)

51.55% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Albirex Niigata 20.64%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 54.64%

Draw 24.71%

Albirex Niigata	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.23% Total : 20.64%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.71%	0-1 @ 13.04% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 10.62% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.77% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 5.17% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.35% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.81% Total : 54.64%