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J1 League | Gameweek 11
May 3, 2023 at 7am UK
Level-5 stadium

Avispa Fukuoka
1 - 0
FC Tokyo

Yamagishi (72')
Grolli (84'), Oda (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nagatomo (36'), Higashi (90+2')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and FC Tokyo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-3 Kawasaki
Saturday, April 29 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, April 29 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 35.86%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (11.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Avispa Fukuoka in this match.

Result
Avispa FukuokaDrawFC Tokyo
35.86% (-1.223 -1.22) 28.66% (-0.165 -0.16) 35.47% (1.388 1.39)
Both teams to score 45.83% (0.54900000000001 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.34% (0.631 0.63)60.66% (-0.632 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.26% (0.471 0.47)80.74% (-0.473 -0.47)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.83% (-0.45700000000001 -0.46)32.17% (0.455 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.34% (-0.523 -0.52)68.66% (0.521 0.52)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.57% (1.256 1.26)32.43% (-1.257 -1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.05% (1.388 1.39)68.95% (-1.39 -1.39)
Score Analysis
    Avispa Fukuoka 35.86%
    FC Tokyo 35.46%
    Draw 28.66%
Avispa FukuokaDrawFC Tokyo
1-0 @ 11.83% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-1 @ 7.56% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.335 -0.34)
3-1 @ 2.86% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-2 @ 1.61% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 35.86%
1-1 @ 13.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.43% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-2 @ 4.26% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.66%
0-1 @ 11.74% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.5% (0.24 0.24)
0-2 @ 6.62% (0.291 0.29)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.181 0.18)
0-3 @ 2.48% (0.189 0.19)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 35.46%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-3 Kawasaki
Saturday, April 29 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 2-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, April 23 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 3-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, April 15 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, April 9 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama FC 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, April 1 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, March 19 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, April 29 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, April 22 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-2 Cerezo
Saturday, April 15 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-2 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, April 9 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, April 1 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, March 18 at 5am in J1 League


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