J1 League | Gameweek 10
Apr 29, 2023 at 7am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium
Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Albirex Niigata.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.
| Result |
| FC Tokyo | Draw | Albirex Niigata |
41.23% ( 0.02) | 25.96% ( -0.01) | 32.81% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.72% ( 0.03) |
| 49.45% ( 0.04) | 50.55% ( -0.04) |
| 27.53% ( 0.04) | 72.46% ( -0.04) |
| 75.75% ( 0.03) | 24.25% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.39% ( 0.04) | 58.61% ( -0.04) |
| 70.92% ( 0.01) | 29.08% ( -0.01) |
