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J1 League | Gameweek 11
May 3, 2023 at 7am UK
Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
2 - 2
Vissel Kobe

Junker (73'), Fujii (90+8')
Mateus (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Osako (11'), Sasaki (60')
Ide (51'), Saito (53')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Vissel Kobe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yokohama 1-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, April 29 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-0 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, April 29 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 36.04%. A win for Vissel Kobe had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawVissel Kobe
36.04% (1.596 1.6) 28.72% (0.107 0.11) 35.23% (-1.707 -1.71)
Both teams to score 45.65% (-0.268 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.12% (-0.349 -0.35)60.88% (0.346 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.09% (-0.264 -0.26)80.9% (0.26000000000001 0.26)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.83% (0.86799999999999 0.87)32.17% (-0.87 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.34% (0.972 0.97)68.65% (-0.974 -0.97)
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.3% (-1.274 -1.27)32.7% (1.271 1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.74% (-1.452 -1.45)69.25% (1.448 1.45)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 36.04%
    Vissel Kobe 35.22%
    Draw 28.71%
Nagoya GrampusDrawVissel Kobe
1-0 @ 11.93% (0.44 0.44)
2-1 @ 7.56% (0.193 0.19)
2-0 @ 6.77% (0.398 0.4)
3-1 @ 2.86% (0.138 0.14)
3-0 @ 2.56% (0.207 0.21)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 36.04%
1-1 @ 13.33% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.51% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.71%
0-1 @ 11.75% (-0.26 -0.26)
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-2 @ 6.57% (-0.384 -0.38)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.195 -0.2)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.235 -0.24)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 35.22%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Yokohama 1-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, April 29 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-2 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, April 23 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-2 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, April 15 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-0 Urawa
Sunday, April 9 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-3 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, April 1 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, March 18 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-0 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, April 29 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-3 Yokohama
Saturday, April 22 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-5 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, April 15 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-0 Albirex Niigata
Sunday, April 9 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-3 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, April 1 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, March 18 at 6am in J1 League


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