Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 73.66%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 10.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 3-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 1-2 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Yokohama F Marinos in this match.