Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
