Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.77%) and 1-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 (12.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Shimizu S-Pulse	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
30.89% ( -2.13)	30.74% ( 1.1)	38.37% ( 1.03)

Both teams to score 39.77% (

-3.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.33% (

-3.6)

67.67% (

3.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.29% (

-2.48)

85.71% (

2.48)

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.49% (

-3.61)

39.51% (

3.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.8% (

-3.52)

76.2% (

3.52)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.75% (

-1.26)

34.25% (

1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.05% (

-1.37)

70.95% (

1.38)

Score Analysis

Shimizu S-Pulse 30.89%

Nagoya Grampus 38.37%

Draw 30.73%

Shimizu S-Pulse	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 12.56% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.64) 2-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.38) 3-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.42) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.32) 3-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.27) Other @ 1.46% Total : 30.89%	0-0 @ 13.53% ( 1.69) 1-1 @ 13.46% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.47) Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.73%	0-1 @ 14.5% ( 1.37) 0-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.49) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.34% Total : 38.37%