Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 23.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.74%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
1.39) 
-0.05) 
