Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 19.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
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