Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 38 | 9 | 63 |
7 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 8 | 59 |
8 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 5 | 54 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kawasaki Frontale | 38 | 53 | 92 |
2 | Yokohama F Marinos | 38 | 47 | 79 |
3 | Vissel Kobe | 38 | 26 | 73 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.82%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sagan Tosu | Draw | Yokohama F Marinos |
21.41% ( 0.21) | 23.54% ( 0.19) | 55.06% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 52.13% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.77% ( -0.53) | 48.23% ( 0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.62% ( -0.49) | 70.38% ( 0.49) |
Sagan Tosu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.1% ( -0.09) | 36.9% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.31% ( -0.1) | 73.69% ( 0.09) |
Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.62% ( -0.34) | 17.38% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.21% ( -0.59) | 47.79% ( 0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Sagan Tosu | Draw | Yokohama F Marinos |
1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 21.41% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.53% | 0-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 9.82% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.79% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.73% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.71% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.51% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.5% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.7% Total : 55.05% |
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