Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.82%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
0.21) 
-0.4) 
