Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
-0.69) 
0.96) 
