Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 60.52%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 16.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.03%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 1-0 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.