Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 49.38%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
0.21) 
-0.13) 
