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KNVB Beker | Round of 16
Jan 16, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Sportpark Dijkpolder
AD

Excelsior Maassluis
1 - 2
ADO Den Haag

Dercks (1')
Plank (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
van der Sande (83'), Veerman (90')
Coverage of the KNVB Beker Round of 16 clash between Excelsior Maassluis and ADO Den Haag.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: DEM 0-1 Excelsior Maassluis
Tuesday, December 19 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Excelsior Maassluis had a probability of 18.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.09%) and 0-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Excelsior Maassluis win it was 2-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for ADO Den Haag in this match.

Result
Excelsior MaassluisDrawADO Den Haag
18.31% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05) 20.12% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 61.56% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 58.48% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.65% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)37.34% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.44% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)59.56% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Excelsior Maassluis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.23% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)33.76% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.57% (-0.078999999999997 -0.08)70.42% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
ADO Den Haag Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.29% (0.010999999999996 0.01)11.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.19% (0.023000000000003 0.02)36.8% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Excelsior Maassluis 18.31%
    ADO Den Haag 61.56%
    Draw 20.12%
Excelsior MaassluisDrawADO Den Haag
2-1 @ 5% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.29% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 2.33% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 18.31%
1-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.95% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.12%
1-2 @ 9.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 9.09% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.48% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 7.06% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 6.5% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.83% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 3.49% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-5 @ 1.63% (0.002 0)
0-5 @ 1.5% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 61.56%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: DEM 0-1 Excelsior Maassluis
Tuesday, December 19 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Excelsior Maassluis 1-5 Swansea
Sunday, July 7 at 2pm in Pre-Season Friendlies
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 5-3 De Graafschap
Friday, January 12 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong AZ 1-2 ADO Den Haag
Saturday, December 23 at 1pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 2-0 Sparta
Wednesday, December 20 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 3-1 NAC Breda
Friday, December 15 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 1-1 Willem II
Friday, December 8 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Helmond 3-2 ADO Den Haag
Friday, December 1 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie


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