SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | De Graafschap |
33.72% ( 0.11) | 23.87% ( 0.01) | 42.41% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 61.29% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.17% ( 0.01) | 40.82% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.79% ( 0.01) | 63.21% ( -0.01) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.16% ( 0.07) | 23.84% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.98% ( 0.1) | 58.02% ( -0.09) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.47% ( -0.05) | 19.52% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.58% ( -0.08) | 51.41% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 33.72% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.65% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.87% | 1-2 @ 8.9% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 42.41% |
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