SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | NAC Breda |
43.38% ( -0.52) | 23.52% ( 0.18) | 33.1% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 62.36% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.66% ( -0.73) | 39.34% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.32% ( -0.76) | 61.67% ( 0.76) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.5% ( -0.51) | 18.5% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.28% ( -0.86) | 49.71% ( 0.86) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.51% ( -0.15) | 23.49% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.48% ( -0.22) | 57.51% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.59% Total : 43.38% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.52% | 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.02% Total : 33.1% |
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