Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 44%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
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