SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Willem II |
28.83% ( -0.95) | 23.54% ( 0.14) | 47.62% ( 0.8) |
| Both teams to score 59.92% ( -1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.46% ( -1.25) | 41.54% ( 1.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.06% ( -1.28) | 63.94% ( 1.27) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.78% ( -1.26) | 27.22% ( 1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.36% ( -1.66) | 62.63% ( 1.66) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.33% ( -0.17) | 17.66% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.71% ( -0.3) | 48.28% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Willem II |
| 2-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.97% Total : 28.83% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.27)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 9.4% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.42)0-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 5.43% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 2.36% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.82% Total : 47.62% |
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