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KNVB Beker | Semi-Finals
Mar 2, 2021 at 8pm UK
GelreDome, Arnhem
V

Vitesse
2 - 0
VVV-Venlo

Broja (75'), Tannane (84')
Tannane (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 19.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.

Result
VitesseDrawVVV-Venlo
60.2%20.59%19.21%
Both teams to score 58.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.91%38.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.64%60.35%
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.69%12.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.91%38.08%
VVV-Venlo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.72%33.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.11%69.88%
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 60.2%
    VVV-Venlo 19.21%
    Draw 20.59%
VitesseDrawVVV-Venlo
2-1 @ 9.89%
2-0 @ 8.99%
1-0 @ 8.58%
3-1 @ 6.91%
3-0 @ 6.28%
3-2 @ 3.8%
4-1 @ 3.62%
4-0 @ 3.29%
4-2 @ 1.99%
5-1 @ 1.52%
5-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 60.2%
1-1 @ 9.44%
2-2 @ 5.44%
0-0 @ 4.09%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.59%
1-2 @ 5.19%
0-1 @ 4.51%
0-2 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 2%
1-3 @ 1.91%
0-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 19.21%

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