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Eredivisie | Gameweek 23
Feb 21, 2021 at 3.45pm UK
Philips Stadium
V

PSV
3 - 1
Vitesse

Malen (66'), Gotze (86', 88')
Gutierrez (38'), Sangare (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Broja (4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 55.72%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 22.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawVitesse
55.72%21.73%22.54%
Both teams to score 59.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.15%38.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.84%61.16%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.12%13.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.72%41.28%
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.4%30.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.17%66.83%
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 55.72%
    Vitesse 22.54%
    Draw 21.73%
PSV EindhovenDrawVitesse
2-1 @ 9.81%
1-0 @ 8.39%
2-0 @ 8.28%
3-1 @ 6.46%
3-0 @ 5.45%
3-2 @ 3.82%
4-1 @ 3.19%
4-0 @ 2.69%
4-2 @ 1.89%
5-1 @ 1.26%
5-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 55.72%
1-1 @ 9.93%
2-2 @ 5.81%
0-0 @ 4.25%
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.73%
1-2 @ 5.88%
0-1 @ 5.03%
0-2 @ 2.98%
1-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 22.54%

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