Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 61.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 17.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.