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La Liga | Gameweek 37
May 16, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country
GL

Alaves
4 - 2
Granada

Pons (8'), Duarte (21'), Joselu (66'), Rioja (72')
Guidetti (90+3'), Garcia (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Molina (31'), Puertas (63')
Perez (20'), Brice Eteki (30'), Duarte (45'), Quini (47')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 36.46%. A win for Granada had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.

Result
AlavesDrawGranada
36.46%28.5%35.05%
Both teams to score 46.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.93%60.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.71%80.29%
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.51%31.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.12%67.88%
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.6%32.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.08%68.92%
Score Analysis
    Alaves 36.46%
    Granada 35.05%
    Draw 28.49%
AlavesDrawGranada
1-0 @ 11.79%
2-1 @ 7.68%
2-0 @ 6.81%
3-1 @ 2.96%
3-0 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 36.46%
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 10.2%
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.49%
0-1 @ 11.5%
1-2 @ 7.49%
0-2 @ 6.48%
1-3 @ 2.81%
0-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 35.05%

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