Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
