Alaves
0 - 1
Osasuna

Ely (61'), Mendez (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lato (64')
Sanjurjo (38'), Lato (53'), Garcia (85')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews the second of the League Two playoff semi-final between Exeter City and Colchester United, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Osasuna in this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Osasuna
32.31%	27.98%	39.71%

Both teams to score 47.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.45%

58.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.88%

79.12%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.53%

33.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.89%

70.11%

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.22%

28.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.37%

64.63%

Score Analysis

Alaves 32.31%

Osasuna 39.7%

Draw 27.98%

Alaves	Draw	Osasuna
1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 7.19% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 2.62% 3-0 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.31%	1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.63% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.98%	0-1 @ 11.99% 1-2 @ 8.18% 0-2 @ 7.47% 1-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 1.86% 1-4 @ 1.06% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.69% Total : 39.7%