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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
CV

Almeria
2 - 3
Celta Vigo

Akieme (54'), Arribas (68')
Pubill (28')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Nunez (24'), Strand Larsen (33'), Swedberg (87')
Sanchez (55')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cadiz 1-1 Almeria
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 2-2 Celta Vigo

Both of these two sides would have earmarked this match as the ideal chance to put three points on the board, but we are finding it difficult to separate them. We are expecting some goals on Friday, with the points ultimately being shared at Power Horse Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawCelta Vigo
34.77% (0.396 0.4) 26.88% (0.198 0.2) 38.35% (-0.594 -0.59)
Both teams to score 51.18% (-0.568 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.01% (-0.747 -0.75)53.98% (0.744 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.57% (-0.629 -0.63)75.42% (0.628 0.63)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (-0.116 -0.12)29.52% (0.115 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46% (-0.142 -0.14)65.54% (0.14099999999999 0.14)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62% (-0.684 -0.68)27.38% (0.684 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.15% (-0.897 -0.9)62.84% (0.896 0.9)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 34.77%
    Celta Vigo 38.34%
    Draw 26.88%
AlmeriaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.253 0.25)
2-1 @ 7.79% (0.027 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.02% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.45% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 34.77%
1-1 @ 12.77% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 8.08% (0.233 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 10.46% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-2 @ 6.78% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.93% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 38.34%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cadiz 1-1 Almeria
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 1-3 Real Madrid
Saturday, August 19 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 0-2 Rayo Vallecano
Friday, August 11 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Espanyol 3-3 Almeria
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 0-0 Valladolid
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-0 Almeria
Tuesday, May 23 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-1 Real Madrid
Friday, August 25 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Celta Vigo
Saturday, August 19 at 4pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-2 Osasuna
Sunday, August 13 at 4pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 5-0 Al-Nassr
Monday, July 17 at 8.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-1 Barcelona
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 1-0 Celta Vigo
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga


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