SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Celta Vigo |
34.77% ( 0.4) | 26.88% ( 0.2) | 38.35% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 51.18% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.01% ( -0.75) | 53.98% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.57% ( -0.63) | 75.42% ( 0.63) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.48% ( -0.12) | 29.52% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.46% ( -0.14) | 65.54% ( 0.14) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% ( -0.68) | 27.38% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.15% ( -0.9) | 62.84% ( 0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almeria | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 34.77% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.04% Total : 38.34% |
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