Almeria actually won 3-1 in the corresponding match last season, while Rayo recorded a 2-0 victory in their clash in Madrid. We are expecting this to be a cagey affair on the opening night of the new campaign and have therefore had to settle on a low-scoring draw at Power Horse Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
41.09% ( -0)	27.13%	31.78%

Both teams to score 49.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.48%

55.52% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.3%

76.7%

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.41%

26.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.2%

61.8% (

-0)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.72%

32.28% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.22%

68.78% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Almeria 41.08%

Rayo Vallecano 31.78%

Draw 27.13%

Almeria	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 11.36% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 7.53% 3-1 @ 3.76% 3-0 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.08%	1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.58% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.13%	0-1 @ 9.7% 1-2 @ 7.27% 0-2 @ 5.49% 1-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.7% Total : 31.78%