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La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
RM

Celta Vigo
0 - 1
Real Madrid


Aspas (67'), Tapia (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bellingham (81')
Kroos (71'), Nacho (90+6'), Rudiger (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Celta Vigo 0-2 Real Madrid

Celta are capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Real Madrid, but we are finding it difficult to back against a win for the capital giants. Bellingham has been outstanding in his first two games for the club, and we are expecting him to be heavily involved in another win for Ancelotti's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Celta VigoDrawReal Madrid
26.01% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 25.32% (0.026 0.03) 48.67% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 51.8% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.8% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)51.2% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.96% (-0.064 -0.06)73.04% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.61% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)34.38% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.91% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.09% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.94% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)21.05% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.14% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)53.85% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 26.01%
    Real Madrid 48.66%
    Draw 25.31%
Celta VigoDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 7.73% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.43% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.13% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.47% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 26.01%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.24% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 11.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.38% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.79% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 48.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Celta Vigo
Saturday, August 19 at 4pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-2 Osasuna
Sunday, August 13 at 4pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 5-0 Al-Nassr
Monday, July 17 at 8.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-1 Barcelona
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 1-0 Celta Vigo
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Girona
Tuesday, May 23 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 1-3 Real Madrid
Saturday, August 19 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, August 12 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Juventus 3-1 Real Madrid
Thursday, August 3 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Real Madrid
Saturday, July 29 at 10pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Man Utd
Thursday, July 27 at 1.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-2 AC Milan
Monday, July 24 at 3.10am in Club Friendlies 1


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