Alaves have shown recent improvement in the league, while Betis are without a victory in their last three, but the home team will have been boosted by their cup success over Sevilla, and we are expecting Pellegrini's side to collect all three points on Tuesday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 59.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 17.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
