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Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 16, 2022 at 3pm UK
Estadio Benito Villamarín
SL

Real Betis
2 - 1
Sevilla

Fekir (39'), Canales (73')
Fekir (1'), Carvalho (61'), Moreno (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Papu (35')
Ocampos (23'), Montiel (64'), Lopetegui (78'), Kounde (90+3'), Acuna (90+3')

We said: Real Betis 1-2 Sevilla

Only one of the last seven league meetings between these sides has finished level, and Sevilla are set to be the team which comes out on top this time - repeating their away victory of November to progress to the last eight. It could be a close-fought affair, given the visitors' general defensive mastery and their depleted front line, but the city will be red again when the final whistle blows on Saturday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Real BetisDrawSevilla
28.76%26.23%45.01%
Both teams to score 51.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.83%53.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.26%74.74%
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.75%33.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.13%69.87%
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.46%23.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.41%57.59%
Score Analysis
    Real Betis 28.76%
    Sevilla 45%
    Draw 26.22%
Real BetisDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 8.62%
2-1 @ 6.86%
2-0 @ 4.75%
3-1 @ 2.52%
3-2 @ 1.82%
3-0 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 28.76%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.83%
2-2 @ 4.96%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 11.32%
1-2 @ 9.02%
0-2 @ 8.19%
1-3 @ 4.35%
0-3 @ 3.95%
2-3 @ 2.39%
1-4 @ 1.57%
0-4 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 45%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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