Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.