Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 47.45%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
