Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.