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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2021 at 5pm UK
Balaidos
RB

Celta Vigo
2 - 3
Real Betis

Aspas (32' pen.), Mendez (49')
Suarez (26'), Dominguez Caceres (40'), Nolito (45'), Aspas (67'), Solari (90+2'), Mendez (90+6')
Coudet (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Iglesias (53' pen.), Fekir (69'), Ruiz (73')
Ruiz (18'), Guardado (48'), Tello (75'), Moreno (78'), Bravo (89'), Lainez (90')
Tello (76')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawReal Betis
32.7%25.78%41.51%
Both teams to score 54.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.19%49.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.19%71.81%
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.22%28.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.37%64.63%
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.22%23.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.06%57.93%
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 32.7%
    Real Betis 41.51%
    Draw 25.78%
Celta VigoDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 8.52%
2-1 @ 7.62%
2-0 @ 5.31%
3-1 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 2.27%
3-0 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 32.7%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 6.84%
2-2 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 9.83%
1-2 @ 8.79%
0-2 @ 7.06%
1-3 @ 4.21%
0-3 @ 3.38%
2-3 @ 2.62%
1-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.21%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 41.51%

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