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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 12, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
CV

Real Madrid
5 - 2
Celta Vigo

Benzema (24', 46', 87' pen.), Junior (54'), Camavinga (72')
Nacho (32'), Junior (55')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mina (4'), Cervi (31')
Murillo (43'), Araujo (63'), Solari (63')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 65.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 12.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.86%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawCelta Vigo
65.81%21.53%12.66%
Both teams to score 40.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.98%54.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.55%75.45%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.29%15.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.22%44.78%
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.48%51.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.31%85.69%
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 65.8%
    Celta Vigo 12.66%
    Draw 21.53%
Real MadridDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 14.97%
2-0 @ 13.86%
2-1 @ 9.2%
3-0 @ 8.56%
3-1 @ 5.67%
4-0 @ 3.96%
4-1 @ 2.63%
3-2 @ 1.88%
5-0 @ 1.47%
5-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 65.8%
1-1 @ 9.93%
0-0 @ 8.09%
2-2 @ 3.05%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.53%
0-1 @ 5.37%
1-2 @ 3.29%
0-2 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 12.66%

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