SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 65.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 12.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.86%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 65.81% | 21.53% | 12.66% |
| Both teams to score 40.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.98% | 54.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.55% | 75.45% |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.29% | 15.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.22% | 44.78% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.48% | 51.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.31% | 85.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 14.97% 2-0 @ 13.86% 2-1 @ 9.2% 3-0 @ 8.56% 3-1 @ 5.67% 4-0 @ 3.96% 4-1 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 1.88% 5-0 @ 1.47% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.64% Total : 65.8% | 1-1 @ 9.93% 0-0 @ 8.09% 2-2 @ 3.05% Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.53% | 0-1 @ 5.37% 1-2 @ 3.29% 0-2 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.22% Total : 12.66% |
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