Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.