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EL
La Liga | Gameweek 3
Sep 27, 2020 at 1pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa
AB

Eibar
1 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Kike (48')
Diop (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lopez (40', 87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
EibarDrawAthletic Bilbao
39.24%27.6%33.16%
Both teams to score 48.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43%57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.1%77.9%
Eibar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.69%28.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.97%64.03%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.91%32.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.44%68.56%
Score Analysis
    Eibar 39.23%
    Athletic Bilbao 33.15%
    Draw 27.6%
EibarDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.46%
2-1 @ 8.22%
2-0 @ 7.23%
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-0 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 1.97%
4-1 @ 1.09%
4-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 39.23%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 9.08%
2-2 @ 4.67%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.6%
0-1 @ 10.32%
1-2 @ 7.41%
0-2 @ 5.87%
1-3 @ 2.81%
0-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 33.15%


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