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La Liga | Gameweek 1
Sep 12, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
AB

Granada
2 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Herrera (49'), Milla (53')
Herrera (10'), Sanchez (45'), Gonalons (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Morcillo (15'), Martinez (52'), Lopez (72'), Alvarez (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 35.94%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.

Result
GranadaDrawAthletic Bilbao
35.94%28.19%35.88%
Both teams to score 47.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.06%58.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.58%79.42%
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.75%31.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.4%67.6%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.71%31.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.36%67.64%
Score Analysis
    Granada 35.93%
    Athletic Bilbao 35.88%
    Draw 28.18%
GranadaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.37%
2-1 @ 7.69%
2-0 @ 6.61%
3-1 @ 2.98%
3-0 @ 2.56%
3-2 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 35.93%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 9.78%
2-2 @ 4.47%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.18%
0-1 @ 11.36%
1-2 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 6.6%
1-3 @ 2.97%
0-3 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 35.88%


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