SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 18.47%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Alaves |
| 56.03% | 25.49% | 18.47% |
| Both teams to score 42.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.05% | 58.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.57% | 79.43% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.88% | 21.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.05% | 53.95% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.68% | 46.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.04% | 81.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 15.2% 2-0 @ 11.82% 2-1 @ 9.1% 3-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 4.72% 4-0 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.82% Other @ 3.01% Total : 56.02% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 9.78% 2-2 @ 3.5% Other @ 0.5% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 7.53% 1-2 @ 4.51% 0-2 @ 2.9% 1-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.39% Total : 18.47% |
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