Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Madrid in this match.
