La Liga | Gameweek 10

Oct 24, 2021 at 3.15pm UK

Camp Nou

Barcelona
1 - 2
Real Madrid

Aguero (90+7')
Pique (58')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Alaba (32'), Vazquez (90+3')
Mendy (80')

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Madrid in this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Real Madrid
36.39%	25.04%	38.57%

Both teams to score 57.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.14%

45.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.83%

68.16%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.31%

24.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.77%

59.22%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.48%

23.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.44%

57.56%

Score Analysis

Barcelona 36.39%

Real Madrid 38.57%

Draw 25.03%

Barcelona	Draw	Real Madrid
2-1 @ 8.22% 1-0 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 2.78% 3-0 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 0.97% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.87% Total : 36.39%	1-1 @ 11.75% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 5.81% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.03%	1-2 @ 8.51% 0-1 @ 8.4% 0-2 @ 6.08% 1-3 @ 4.1% 0-3 @ 2.93% 2-3 @ 2.87% 1-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.06% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.08% Total : 38.57%