Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 58.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 18.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
