Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 71.47%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Elche had a probability of 10.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.24%) and 0-3 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
